Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000145 0.000161 0.000178 0.000197 0.000218 0.000242 0.000269
2025-08-17 0.000116 0.000138 0.000164 0.000196 0.000235 0.000282 0.000342
2025-08-24 0.000097 0.000122 0.000152 0.000193 0.000246 0.000313 0.000406
2025-08-31 0.000082 0.000108 0.000141 0.000186 0.000249 0.000334 0.000456
2025-09-07 0.000074 0.000100 0.000135 0.000187 0.000261 0.000364 0.000523
2025-09-14 0.000068 0.000095 0.000133 0.000190 0.000276 0.000401 0.000603
2025-09-21 0.000061 0.000088 0.000126 0.000187 0.000280 0.000422 0.000660
2025-09-28 0.000054 0.000080 0.000118 0.000180 0.000278 0.000432 0.000700
2025-10-05 0.000051 0.000077 0.000117 0.000182 0.000290 0.000466 0.000784
2025-10-12 0.000049 0.000075 0.000116 0.000186 0.000306 0.000507 0.000885
2025-10-19 0.000045 0.000071 0.000112 0.000184 0.000309 0.000527 0.000951
2025-10-26 0.000043 0.000069 0.000111 0.000186 0.000321 0.000564 0.001052
2025-11-02 0.000039 0.000065 0.000107 0.000184 0.000326 0.000588 0.001134
2025-11-09 0.000037 0.000062 0.000104 0.000183 0.000333 0.000618 0.001235
2025-11-16 0.000034 0.000058 0.000100 0.000180 0.000336 0.000641 0.001323
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000054 0.000095 0.000174 0.000332 0.000650 0.001383
2025-11-30 0.000030 0.000052 0.000093 0.000174 0.000341 0.000686 0.001507
2025-12-07 0.000028 0.000051 0.000092 0.000177 0.000356 0.000736 0.001672
2025-12-14 0.000027 0.000048 0.000089 0.000174 0.000356 0.000756 0.001768
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000045 0.000084 0.000167 0.000350 0.000757 0.001820
2025-12-28 0.000024 0.000044 0.000084 0.000169 0.000362 0.000805 0.001996
2026-01-04 0.000023 0.000044 0.000084 0.000174 0.000380 0.000865 0.002217
2026-01-11 0.000022 0.000042 0.000082 0.000171 0.000381 0.000889 0.002342